Global Macro Pulse
Where does every economy sit today? GDP growth versus inflation across tracked countries.
- Median GDP growth
- +8.18%
- Median inflation
- +3.20%
- Median policy rate
- +2.65%
- Countries evaluated
- 61
Regime distribution
- Expansion: 11.5%
- Overheating: 18.0%
- Stagflation risk: 36.1%
- Contraction: 34.4%
- Expansion
- Overheating
- Stagflation risk
- Contraction
View chart data as a table
| Country | GDP growth | CPI inflation | Median policy rate | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albania | +17.29% | +3.00% | 2.65% | Expansion |
| Australia | No data | +3.97% | 4.35% | Stagflation risk |
| Austria | No data | +2.90% | 2.65% | Contraction |
| Bangladesh | No data | +8.77% | — | Stagflation risk |
| Belgium | No data | +4.20% | 2.40% | Stagflation risk |
| Brasil | No data | +4.58% | 13.94% | Stagflation risk |
| Bulgaria | No data | +5.00% | 2.65% | Stagflation risk |
| Canada | +2.32% | +3.00% | 2.25% | Expansion |
| Chile | No data | +3.94% | — | Stagflation risk |
| China | +4.77% | +0.23% | 2.90% | Expansion |
| Croatia | +25.58% | +3.70% | 2.65% | Overheating |
| Cyprus | +9.83% | +5.20% | 2.65% | Overheating |
| Czech Republic | No data | +1.50% | 2.65% | Contraction |
| Denmark | No data | +1.93% | — | Contraction |
| Egypt | No data | +14.07% | — | Stagflation risk |
| Estonia | +12.44% | +3.50% | 2.65% | Overheating |
| Finland | No data | +2.40% | 2.65% | Contraction |
| France | No data | +2.60% | 2.65% | Contraction |
| Germany | +1.24% | +2.90% | 2.65% | Contraction |
| Greece | No data | +3.70% | 2.65% | Stagflation risk |
| Hong Kong | No data | +1.44% | — | Contraction |
| Hungary | No data | +1.80% | 2.65% | Contraction |
| India | No data | +4.96% | 5.50% | Stagflation risk |
| Ireland | No data | +3.40% | 2.65% | Stagflation risk |
| Israel | No data | +1.64% | 3.27% | Contraction |
| Italy | No data | +3.20% | 2.65% | Stagflation risk |
| Japan | +0.94% | +0.30% | 1.04% | Contraction |
| Kazakhstan | No data | +11.38% | — | Stagflation risk |
| Latvia | +11.71% | +3.00% | 2.65% | Expansion |
| Lithuania | +23.27% | +5.60% | 2.65% | Overheating |
| Luxembourg | +24.55% | +4.00% | 2.65% | Overheating |
| Malaysia | No data | +1.38% | — | Contraction |
| Malta | +6.80% | +2.00% | 2.65% | Expansion |
| Mexico | +6.54% | +3.45% | 6.50% | Overheating |
| Montenegro | +2.16% | +4.60% | 2.65% | Overheating |
| Netherlands | No data | +2.80% | 2.65% | Contraction |
| Nigeria | No data | +23.01% | — | Stagflation risk |
| North Macedonia | +4.57% | +2.60% | 2.65% | Expansion |
| Norway | +11.88% | +3.19% | 4.50% | Overheating |
| Pakistan | No data | +3.55% | — | Stagflation risk |
| Philippines | No data | +1.66% | — | Contraction |
| Poland | No data | +3.50% | 3.75% | Stagflation risk |
| Portugal | No data | +3.60% | 2.65% | Stagflation risk |
| Qatar | No data | +1.27% | — | Contraction |
| Romania | No data | +6.30% | 2.65% | Stagflation risk |
| Saudi Arabia | No data | +2.04% | — | Contraction |
| Serbia | +24.31% | +2.50% | 2.65% | Expansion |
| Singapore | No data | +0.90% | — | Contraction |
| Slovak Republic | No data | +3.10% | 2.65% | Stagflation risk |
| Slovenia | +19.32% | +3.40% | 2.65% | Overheating |
| South Korea | No data | +2.88% | 3.04% | Contraction |
| Spain | No data | +4.60% | 2.65% | Stagflation risk |
| Sweden | No data | +0.30% | 2.65% | Contraction |
| Switzerland | No data | +0.06% | -0.30% | Contraction |
| Thailand | No data | -0.13% | — | Contraction |
| Turkey | +6.92% | +32.17% | — | Overheating |
| Ukraine | No data | +8.40% | — | Stagflation risk |
| United Arab Emirates | No data | +1.25% | — | Contraction |
| United Kingdom | +1.06% | +3.43% | 3.75% | Stagflation risk |
| United States of America | +8.18% | +3.40% | 3.88% | Overheating |
| Vietnam | No data | +3.31% | — | Stagflation risk |
Policy Stance & Real Rates
Comparative table of policy rates, inflation and real rates
| Brasil | +13.94% | +4.58% | +9.36% | Restrictive |
| Mexico | +6.50% | +3.45% | +3.05% | Restrictive |
| China | +2.90% | +0.23% | +2.67% | Restrictive |
| Sweden | +2.65% | +0.30% | +2.35% | Restrictive |
| Israel | +3.27% | +1.64% | +1.63% | Restrictive |
| Norway | +4.50% | +3.19% | +1.31% | Restrictive |
| Czech Republic | +2.65% | +1.50% | +1.15% | Restrictive |
| Hungary | +2.65% | +1.80% | +0.85% | Neutral |
| Japan | +1.04% | +0.30% | +0.74% | Neutral |
| Malta | +2.65% | +2.00% | +0.65% | Neutral |
| India | +5.50% | +4.96% | +0.54% | Neutral |
| United States of America | +3.88% | +3.40% | +0.48% | Neutral |
| Australia | +4.35% | +3.97% | +0.38% | Neutral |
| United Kingdom | +3.75% | +3.43% | +0.32% | Neutral |
| Poland | +3.75% | +3.50% | +0.25% | Neutral |
| Finland | +2.65% | +2.40% | +0.25% | Neutral |
| South Korea | +3.04% | +2.88% | +0.16% | Neutral |
| Serbia | +2.65% | +2.50% | +0.15% | Neutral |
| North Macedonia | +2.65% | +2.60% | +0.05% | Neutral |
| France | +2.65% | +2.60% | +0.05% | Neutral |
| Netherlands | +2.65% | +2.80% | -0.15% | Neutral |
| Germany | +2.65% | +2.90% | -0.25% | Neutral |
| Austria | +2.65% | +2.90% | -0.25% | Neutral |
| Latvia | +2.65% | +3.00% | -0.35% | Neutral |
| Albania | +2.65% | +3.00% | -0.35% | Neutral |
| Switzerland | -0.30% | +0.06% | -0.36% | Neutral |
| Slovak Republic | +2.65% | +3.10% | -0.45% | Neutral |
| Italy | +2.65% | +3.20% | -0.55% | Neutral |
| Slovenia | +2.65% | +3.40% | -0.75% | Neutral |
| Ireland | +2.65% | +3.40% | -0.75% | Neutral |
| Canada | +2.25% | +3.00% | -0.75% | Neutral |
| Estonia | +2.65% | +3.50% | -0.85% | Neutral |
| Portugal | +2.65% | +3.60% | -0.95% | Neutral |
| Greece | +2.65% | +3.70% | -1.05% | Accommodative |
| Croatia | +2.65% | +3.70% | -1.05% | Accommodative |
| Luxembourg | +2.65% | +4.00% | -1.35% | Accommodative |
| Belgium | +2.40% | +4.20% | -1.80% | Accommodative |
| Spain | +2.65% | +4.60% | -1.95% | Accommodative |
| Montenegro | +2.65% | +4.60% | -1.95% | Accommodative |
| Bulgaria | +2.65% | +5.00% | -2.35% | Accommodative |
| Cyprus | +2.65% | +5.20% | -2.55% | Accommodative |
| Lithuania | +2.65% | +5.60% | -2.95% | Accommodative |
| Romania | +2.65% | +6.30% | -3.65% | Accommodative |